On a relevant note, a series of key releases will also be seen in the Eurozone including the Q2 GDP and July inflation updates. The current market consensus points to a slowdown in Q2 GDP to a growth of 2.1% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ), which is unlikely to help the euro given the status quo view from the ECB in their last meeting to see policy on hold through to the summer of 2019. Likewise for the CPI number that is expected to moderate to -0.3% month-on-month (MoM) from the 0.1% reading in June. In addition to the abovementioned, the likes of Germany’s Q2 GDP, July’s CPI and ZEW survey will also be seen all on Tuesday for euro and DAX traders alike.
Asia indicators
For Asian markets, the Chinese data watch continues into next week with the release of July’s set of industrial production, fixed asset investments and retail sales numbers. The stepping in of the PBOC in stabilising the yuan through raising reserve requirement had served to support the Chinese markets at the start of the week. This had helped to nullify some of the impact from a slowdown in export growth for July, though notably, the 12.2 % YoY reading had also been above the market consensus. July’s industrial production is currently seen to accelerate to 6.3% YoY while retail sales and fixed asset investments are expected to hold their June growth rates. Watch any disappointments here which may aggravate concerns across Asian markets.
Over and above the Chinese numbers, Asian markets will find a heavy calendar including the Bank Indonesia meeting on Wednesday. No changes in monetary policy are expected here. Other notable releases include Australia’s Q2 wage data and July employment update on Wednesday and Thursday respectively. GDP numbers from the likes of Singapore, Malaysia and Taiwan are also lined up.
