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CFDs are complex instruments. 70% of retail client accounts lose money when trading CFDs, with this investment provider. You can lose your money rapidly due to leverage. Please ensure you understand how this product works and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing money.

Oil prices continue to fall further amid rising US-China tensions

Oil continues to trade lower as the week draws to a close, with prices unlikely to break $40 a barrel in 2020 amid rising US-China tensions.

Oil Source: Bloomberg

Oil clawed back some of its early losses on Friday morning, with prices unlikely to tick above $40 a barrel, according to market analysts.

In a recent survey by Reuters, analysts’ consensus data showed that Brent crude and the US benchmark West Texas Intermediate (WTI) would average at $37.58 and $32.78 a barrel this year.

Investors were hoping that production cuts from OPEC+ and the US would help lift prices amid weakening global demand due to the Covid-19 crisis. But analysts remain wary about the economic fallout from rising tensions between the US and China.

The world’s two largest economies have seen relations sour over China’s new security laws on Hong Kong, which has put a stop to a recent recovery in equities and oil prices.

WTI remains in tight range

Over the past week the WTI price has continued to move sideways, dropping down to $31.50 before rebounding towards $35, according to Chris Beauchamp, chief analyst at IG.

‘So far this range shows no signs of ending. A move through $35 marks the continuation of the rally from the April lows, while a push below $31.50 opens the way to more downside, towards previous resistance at $27.60 in the first instance,’ he added.

Stocks recovery runs out of steam

Global equities ran out of steam on Friday, as investors grow increasingly concerned about rising tensions between officials in Washington and Beijing.

The FTSE 100 looked like it would end the week on a high note, only to sees its earlier gains almost entirely eroded on Friday, with the blue-chip index closing 2% lower and only marginally higher to where it kicked off the week.

European socks also took a tumble, with the Euro Stoxx 50 closing 1.35% lower – though the index managed to rally to a 4% gain overall this week.

Meanwhile the S&P 500 also opened lower, with the index likely to end the week in positive territory despite the shift in investor sentiment.

How to trade commodities with IG

Looking to trade oil and other commodities? Open a live or demo account with IG and buy (long) or sell (short) shares using derivatives like CFDs in a few easy steps:

  1. Create an IG trading account or log in to your existing account

  2. Enter ‘Oil – Brent Crude’ in the search bar and select it

  3. Choose your position size

  4. Click on ‘buy’ or ‘sell’ in the deal ticket

  5. Confirm the trade


This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

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