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FTSE moving average key to upside
The FTSE 100 is still anchored around the 6780 level, having been unable to establish a close above 6800 yesterday.
Support at the 100-hour moving average was tested in early trade at 6732, and the indices was afforded a bounce to the upside. This moving average is now, in my opinion, the key to the upside, with a range-bound trade set to continue between 6780 and this 6730 metric until we see a decisive break.
Clearly the daily upward trend is still in play but, with the daily relative strength index levelling out while it is not overbought, the index needs a catalyst to assert the next run up.
DAX loses 9610 support
The DAX is below 9600 and, with yesterday’s support of 9610 taken out, 9550 tested in early trade. However this current move may well be a bounce before it takes another leg down.
The next support, should we see a move below 9500, is the 50-daily moving average at 9458. Bear in mind that while we have a strong daily uptrend, the 9670/80 level remains somewhat elusive for the bulls.
Dow meets resistance at 16,200
The Dow Jones is now trading around the 50% retracement of the December highs and February lows, finding support at 15,965. There is strong resistance at 16,200 with the 50-DMA capping upside gains, and any move through it on a daily close would see 16,296 as the next target.
In the short-term the 200-hour moving average is supporting the price action, but the convergence of the 50- and 100-hour moving averages at 16,115 may see profit-taking should we see a push upwards.
On the downside, should the 15,965 level fail, the 15,892 and then the 100-day moving average will come into play at 15,876.