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Recovery continues for key stock markets, S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 both now up on the year​

Softer-than-expected US inflation and the ongoing trade war pause have underpinned a continued positive atmosphere for equity markets, while in London Burberry has soared and Imperial Brands has slumped following results.

Market charts Source: Adobe images

Written by

Chris Beauchamp

Chris Beauchamp

Chief Market Analyst

Article publication date:

​​​S&P 500 back in the green for the year

​Monday’s US-China trade war pause helped markets to stage an impressive recovery on Monday, and further gains yesterday for some markets saw the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 both move back into positive territory for the year. 

​In the near-term we can expect this ongoing trade war pause to provide a foundation for further market gains. Sentiment remains cautious at best, and the recent Bank of America fund manager survey showed that investors have yet to jump back wholeheartedly into US markets, having abandoned them in haste in March and April. 

​The FTSE 100, up 4% for the year so far, is hovering around 8600, having itself staged an impressive recovery from the lows. For the time being, it looks like the focus for global markets will switch to the US budget talks, with hopes that the Republican-controlled houses of Congress can pass a budget that will include tax cuts to provide further fiscal stimulus.  

​While Tuesday’s US inflation data did show a rise in prices between March and April, the increase was smaller than expected. Crucially, rolling measures of core inflation (which excludes volatile food and energy prices) continue to decline, which will give the Federal Reserve (Fed) some space to think about rate cuts this year.

​Burberry soars after trading update

​A plunge into the red and more job cuts seem an odd way to generate an 8% pop in your share price, but Burberry’s recent trading has been so grim that investors are keen to latch on to any signs of good news. 

​Job losses will help to reduce costs for the struggling luxury firm, while the group sounds more confident that its turnaround strategy can deliver the results sorely needed to rebuild confidence in the outlook.  

Burberry has already rallied 40% from its April lows, as global risk appetite rebounds thanks to the pause in US tariffs, while the détente between the US and China will boost hopes that these two key markets can avoid a sustained recession that would hurt luxury sales badly.

​Imperial Brands retreats

Imperial Brands has been one of the most solid performers over the last year for the FTSE 100, and until recently had been a safe haven from the recent volatility.  

​However, the departure of its CEO has knocked confidence in the short-term outlook, while today’s in-line results were evidently not sufficient to bolster the share price. But, having gained over 40% over the last year, the shares have delivered well for investors, and at nine times earnings cannot be said to be too expensive.