Skip to content

CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please consider our Risk Disclosure Notice and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please consider our Risk Disclosure Notice and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

Taiwan index rallies post presidential election result

The Democratic Progressive Party’s victory last Saturday has helped to boost Taiwan’s weighted index back near to its peak.

Source: Bloomberg

The Taiwan Capitalization Weight Stock Index (Taiex) is back trading near its peak, following the Democratic Progressive Party’s win at the latest presidential election.

On the back of the pro-independence party’s win on Saturday (11 January) with 57.1% of votes for the incumbent President Tsai Ing-Wen, the Taiex has opened Monday’s market at 12,069.61 – 0.37% above the previous week’s close.

This was proceeded by some sideways trading, before the index climbed 0.11% at 9.35am to hit 12,083.26, just slightly below a 52-week apex of 12,122.45 achieved on 18 December 2019.

How long will this momentum last?

Two local analysts expect the index to continue posting gains in the next month.

According to Li Fang-kuo, chairman of President Capital Management, Taiwan’s financial markets ‘tend to rise after an election, as uncertainty is removed’.

Based on the last six presidential elections, the Taiex climbed by an average of 7.4% in the first 30 days after results day.

Upcoming global tailwinds, including the trade deal signing taking place this week between US and China, would mean ‘the bullish trend will continue for Taiwan’s market’ said Shelly Lee, chairman of Mega International Investment Services Co.

She added that in the immediate term, fund managers and investors will likely pay attention to beneficiary stocks in the manufacturing and technology sectors.

On the flipside, experts say a pro-independence victory would lead to a drop in tourism numbers and stocks. Since Tsai took office in 2016, Chinese arrivals – which account for the majority of foreign visitors – has dipped roughly 40%.

An IG demo account allows users to practise trading indices and other markets. Sign for a free account today.

Taiex could hit record levels by April

Li predicts that the index will hit record prices by April this year, with foreign and domestic capital inflow expected to continue.

Although the US-China trade war had rendered most global markets unstable in the last 12 months, an estimated US$12 billion of net inflows through the first 11 months of the year had kept the Taiwan stock market buoyant.

The benchmark has been rising steadily since August 2019, gaining over 16% during this time.

A strong outlook for the local technology sector, in particular semiconductors, is also expected to trigger further growth for the overall stock market, said Vincent Tsui, senior Asia analyst at Gavekal Research.

The deployment of 5G technology and a growing trend of Chinese technology companies engaging non-US chip suppliers should also lead to higher earnings in the next 12 months, said KGI Securities.

The three largest Taiwan semiconductor companies reported a 19% increase in combine revenue in the third quarter last year, Gavekal Research data showed.

Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co, which constitutes almost a quarter weightage of the Taiex, also reported a 9.7% sales growth last November year-on-year.

Take advantge of rising and falling prices on the Taiex and other indices with an IG demo account today.


The information on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG Bank S.A. accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer.

Demo trading account

Develop your trading skills on thousands of markets, and master our award-winning platform for free.1

Practise trading with CHF 20,000 virtual funds

Get exclusive educational content on IG Academy

Test strategies on the go with our free mobile apps


By clicking Try our demo you agree to the terms of our privacy notice and access policy and you are giving representatives from IG (both from IG Bank S.A. and other companies within the IG group which may exist in other countries) permission to contact you by phone or by email with guidance regarding the use of your demo account. IG may also contact you with information about its products and services. You hereby waive the benefit of Swiss banking secrecy in this respect. Confidentiality of your personal data will be ensured throughout the group, regardless of the location of specific group companies.

For more info on how we might use your data, see our privacy notice and access policy and privacy webpage.

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.

You might be interested in…

<h3>How much does trading cost?</h3>
<h3>Find out about IG</h3>
<h3>Plan your trading</h3>

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.