CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please consider our Risk Disclosure Notice and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please consider our Risk Disclosure Notice and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

Royal Mail shares set to trade lower, says Credit Suisse analysts

Analysts from Credit Suisse believe the ailing British postal service could see its share price halve in value this year ahead of the company’s full-year results on Thursday.

Analysts from Credit Suisse believe Royal Mail could see its share price halve in value this year, with their assessment coming just days away from company unveiling its full-year results.

Credit Suisse opted to reiterate its ‘underperform’ rating for the British postal service and issued a target price for the troubled stock of 95p – implying a potential downside of 48.9%.

Royal Mail will unveil its full-year results on Thursday 25 June.

Royal Mail results likely to disappoint

Royal Mail is unlikely to put a smile on investors faces when it unveils its full-year results later this week, with the British postal service expected to report lower profits, driven by disgruntled employees and the sudden departure of its CEO in May.

Due to letter volumes continuing to decline, Royal Mail has attempted to increase its parcel delivery volumes. However, there is stiff competition within this space and investors are likely to be disappointed by the lack of progress the company has made in this area.

Analysts at Credit Suisse noted in a recent report that growth in parcel deliveries would need to be significant for the postal service to offset the decline in letter volumes which has already squeezed margins considerably.

Its poor performance has led investors to speculate that the company will be broken up. However, analysts at Credit Suisse believe it would be difficult to find a buyer considering the state the business is in.

‘Given the unprecedented shift from more profitable B2B to B2C in GLS and from letters to parcels in UKPIL, we think it too optimistic to pay for all of this progress at this stage, so the UK turnaround remains key,’ Credit Suisse said in a note.

Royal Mail among the top five most shorted UK stocks

The company’s dismal outlook has prompted short-sellers to start circling, with Royal Mail among the top five most shorted UK stocks, according to data compiled by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA).

The company currently has a 8.14% short position against, with Adelphi Capital and BlackRock Investment Management holding the two largest positions at 2.02% and 3.6% respectively.

Short interest in Royal Mail has steadily increased since the end of February and, unless the company is able to deliver a strong set of results this week, it is unlikely to see this trend reversing any time soon.

Royal Mail closed 2% higher on Tuesday at 186p per share.

How to trade stocks with IG

Looking to trade the Royal Mail and other stocks? Open a live or demo account with IG and buy (long) or sell (short) shares using derivatives like CFDs in a few easy steps:

  1. Create an IG trading account or log in to your existing account
  2. Enter ‘Royal Mail’ in the search bar and select it
  3. Choose your position size
  4. Click on ‘buy’ or ‘sell’ in the deal ticket
  5. Confirm the trade

The information on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG Bank S.A. accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer.

Act on share opportunities today

Go long or short on thousands of international stocks with CFDs.

  • Get full exposure for a comparatively small deposit
  • Trade on spreads from just 0.1%
  • Get greater order book visibility with direct market access

See opportunity on a stock?

Try a risk-free trade in your demo account, and see whether you’re on to something.

  • Log in to your demo
  • Take your position
  • See whether your hunch pays off

See opportunity on a stock?

Don’t miss your chance – upgrade to a live account to take advantage.

  • Trade a huge range of popular stocks
  • Analyse and deal seamlessly on fast, intuitive charts
  • See and react to breaking news in-platform

See opportunity on a stock?

Don’t miss your chance. Log in to take your position.

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices
liveprices.javascriptrequired
liveprices.javascriptrequired
liveprices.javascriptrequired

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.

You might be interested in…

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.