Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Oil prices are at risk of further falls, while gold has revived as opportunity appetite takes a knock.

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold flirting with the 200-day SMA

A recovery off the $1240 level has taken gold price back towards the key $1260 zone, and once again the price is testing the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $1258.

A breakout above here, combined with the recovery back above the declining trendline, would suggest that the next target on the upside is the November peak at $1308, with some resistance at $1271 and $1281. Sellers would need to break below the $1240 level and create a new lower low to put more weight behind a bearish outlook.

Brent falling down again

Brent has been shedding ground over the past two days, having fallen back from the $53.94 resistance area. Now we look to see if it can maintain its bearish move, with a push into the $50-$51.50 support zone that held in March.

A break below $51.30 would be the first step, and could open the way to $50, with a move below here signaling more weakness. A rally has to break $54, and would put the commodity back in the consolidation zone that prevailed from December until March. 

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