Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Oil prices seem to be heading lower, as bullish momentum dries up. 

Man inspecting oil barrels
Source: Bloomberg

Gold at risk of moving lower
Gold progress beyond the $1130 area has been absent over the past week. While the hourly uptrend is still holding, the risk is that the price begins to move lower, down towards support at $1120, and then potentially down to $1112, and the lows of last Friday.

The 200-day simple moving average ($1131) and then the monthly downtrend line stand in the way of any further gains, but if it is broken then the next target is $1137 and then $1145. 

Brent rally looks to have stalled
The failure to push on beyond $36 suggests that the Brent rally has stalled. The hourly uptrend still holds, so until the price moves back below $32.50 there is room for another bounce, but a daily close below $32.50 would ignite a move down to $31.22 and then $30.

The sharp drop yesterday in WTI suggests the sellers are back. While we may see a bounce back towards $31.50 on the intraday charts, it looks increasingly like the next move is lower, down towards $30.50 and then $29.68. The January low around $28 are lurking in the background. 

The information on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG Bank S.A. accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it and as such is considered to be a marketing communication.