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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

USD/JPY and GBP/JPY: retail trader sentiment signals potential reversals

USD/JPY decoding market sentiment amidst shifting tides and GBP/JPY poised for potential upswing. Explore the rise in long positions and shifts in net-short sentiment.

Source: GettyImages
  • USD/JPY

Current retail trader data

The latest trader data paints a complex picture for USD/JPY (大口). Current data shows a mere 17.15% of retail traders holding long positions, with short positions outnumbering long positions by nearly 5 to 1. Yet, beneath this bearish surface, currents of change are stirring.

USD/JPY client positioning chart

Source: IG

Rising long positions

Long positions are on the rise, climbing 16.84% day-over-day and 9.34% week-over-week. While our contrarian approach typically views net-short sentiment as a bullish signal, the recent reduction in bearish conviction hints at a potential trend reversal.

This evolving sentiment landscape offers valuable insights for strategic positioning in the USD/JPY (大口) market.

USD/JPY daily price chart

Source: TradingView
  • GBP/JPY

Retail trader sentiment

Recent retail trader data reveals intriguing insights into the GBP/JPY currency pair. A mere 19.38% of traders are currently maintaining long positions, resulting in a short-to-long ratio of 4.16 to 1. This pronounced bearish sentiment among retail traders often serves as a contrarian indicator, suggesting the possibility of continued upward momentum for the GBP/JPY.

GBP/JPY client positioning chart

Source: IG

Temporal shifts in positioning

Temporal shifts in trader positioning add another layer of complexity to the market outlook. While the number of traders holding long positions has increased by 8.27% since yesterday, it has markedly decreased by 18.64% compared to last week. Conversely, short positions have seen growth both on a daily and weekly basis, at 6.39% and 3.63% respectively.

Mixed trading bias

This nuanced picture of trader sentiment and its recent fluctuations presents a mixed trading bias for the GBP/JPY. The overall net-short positioning has moderated since yesterday but intensified compared to last week, creating a delicate balance of market forces and highlighting a mixed trading bias.

GBP/JPY daily price chart

Source: TradingView
  • This information has been prepared by DailyFX, the partner site of IG offering leading forex news and analysis. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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