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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD

EUR/USD, GBP/USD, and AUD/USD have regained ground overnight. Is this the beginning of a more bullish phase, or the moment we see dollar strength come back into play?

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EUR/USD regains ground after German deal

EUR/USD is regaining ground following a deal between the German Christian Democratic Union (CDU) and Christian Social Union (CSU) parties, which allayed much of the fear surrounding Angela Merkel’s future.

Ultimately, the trajectory of this pair will be set by watching for a break below the $1.1510 (bearish), or above $1.1721 (bullish). Watch for near-term resistance at the 200-simple moving average (SMA), 4 hour, and the $1.1675 level.

EUR/USD chart

GBP/USD moving back into trendline resistance

GBP/USD is also turning higher, following the sell-off seen yesterday morning.

The downtrend clearly remains intact for now, yet a break above trendline and horizontal ($1.3214) resistance would signal a bullish shift for the near term. Until that happens, there is a good chance we will see the pair weaken once more before long.

GBP/USD chart

AUD/USD weakening from deep retracement

AUD/USD has rallied into a level between the 61.8% and 76.4% retracements overnight, with the pair now starting to turn lower.

The wider bearish trend clearly points towards a potential bearish reversal from here, in a continuation of the lower highs in play throughout June. A break above $0.7405 would signal a bullish shift for the pair. However, until that happens, a bearish bias remains in play. 

AUD/USD chart

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.