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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold is back above $1200, a sign of a possible reversal in the price, while oil has failed to make much headway on the upside.

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold coming back up?

Gold tumbled back below $1200 last night but managed to claw higher, with this key level still providing some signs of buying pressure. However, it still needs to create a new higher high above $1215 to indicate further upward moves are on the way.

A close above $1220 would be the definite sign that more gains are in store. If $1200 breaks, we could see a move to $1180, the 27 January low, with the possibility this will be followed by further falls in the direction of $1124 and the December 2016 low.

WTI in an unsure place

A sharp WTI rally off the lows yesterday could have been short-covering, but it still left the price unable to break back above $49.50, and also stuck below the rising trendline off the February 2016 lows.

Crucially, the price created a new lower low on the hourly chart, suggesting the bounce is another selling opportunity, albeit on a day when EIA inventories and the Federal Reserve decision promise elevated volatility. The price would need to break back above $50 to indicate firm momentum to the upside, while a drop below yesterday’s low at $47.60 would be a definite indication of more declines, perhaps as far as $45.10. 

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.