Telstra share price: What’s the outlook following FY20 results?

We look at the key takeaways from Telstra’s just released full-year results.

The Telstra (TLS) share price opened lower on Thursday, at $3.290 per share, after the blue-chip telco released its full-year (FY20) results to the market.

Overall, as part of these results, the company touted the strength of its top and bottom-line performance, with total income, profits (NPAT) and earnings (EBITDA) all meeting market expectations. The telco also unveiled an 8 cent final dividend – taking Telstra’s full-year dividend to 16 cents per share.

Commenting on these results, Telstra's esteemed CEO, Andrew Penn said:

'The COVID-19 period has also highlighted that connectivity has never been more critical. We have witnessed a huge acceleration in the digital economy, an area now critical to a fast economic recovery where Telstra has a key role to play.'

Full-year results examined

On the top line, Telstra noted that its total income fell by 5.9% to $26.2 billion. By comparison, on the bottom-line, the telco delivered earnings (NPAT) of $1.8 billion against reported EBITDA of $8.9 billion.

On a more granular level, it should be noted that Telstra reports a variety of EBITDA figures, including ‘reported EBITDA’, ‘reported lease adjusted EBITDA’ and ‘Underlying EBITDA’. That final measure, according to management, gives ‘the clearest view of the long-term business’ – and rose by $40 million in FY20.

Beyond those complexities, the telco continued to show the strength of its market leading position in Australia’s telecommunications sector, reporting robust customer growth. Specifically, during FY20 Telstra added 240,000 retail postpaid handheld services; 171,000 retail prepaid handheld users; 347,000 wholesale services; and 652,000 Internet of Things (IoT) services.

Despite that, mobile revenue fell by 4.4% on a year-over-year basis to $10,084 million. Mobile earnings (EBITDA) contribution margins also declined, hitting 34.7% – a figure dragged lower by a weaker second half.

Elsewhere, Telstra maintained a steady dividend, declaring a fully-franked 8 cents per share final dividend. This dividend was comprised of a 5 cent ordinary dividend and a 3 cent special dividend. Overall, this takes the company’s full-year payout to 20 cents per share – or $1.9 billion.

'The FY20 ordinary dividend is higher than the range indicated in our capital management framework to pay a fully franked ordinary dividend of 70 to 90 per cent of underlying earnings,’ the company noted.

Telstra share price: where next?

With Telstra already reiterating its FY20 guidance prior to today’s full-year results release, many analysts had begun to focus their attention towards what FY21 guidance Telstra would provide, if any. Telstra indeed provided such guidance today – with management noting that they currently expect declines across a number of the company's key top and bottom-line metrics, over the next year.

Looking forward, for FY21 the company expects to report:

  • Total income of between $23.2-$25.1 billion
  • Underlying earnings (EBITDA) of between $6.5-$7.0 billion
  • Capital expenditure of between $2.8-$3.2 billion

'We have invested, and will continue to invest, for long-term returns and opportunities, especially in mobile and our T22 strategy, the benefits of which will be realised over time,’ said Andrew Penn.

Telstra last traded at $3.20 per share.

How to trade Telstra, long or short

In the wake of Telstra’s FY20 results, where do you stand: are you bullish or bearish on the telco? Whatever your view, you can use CFDs to trade both rising and falling markets, through IG’s world-class trading platform now.

For example, to buy (long) or sell (short) Telstra using CFDs, follow these easy steps:

  1. Create an IG Trading Account or log in to your existing account
  2. Enter ‘Telstra’ in the search bar and select it
  3. Choose your position size
  4. Click on ‘buy’ or ‘sell’ in the deal ticket
  5. Confirm the trade

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

The information/research herein is prepared by IG Asia Pte Ltd (IGA) and its foreign affiliated companies (collectively known as the IG Group) and is intended for general circulation only. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.

Please see important Research Disclaimer.

Seize a share opportunity today

Go long or short on thousands of international stocks.

  • Increase your market exposure with leverage
  • Get spreads from just 0.1% on major global shares
  • Trade CFDs straight into order books with direct market access

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.


Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 20 mins.

The Momentum Report

Get the week’s momentum report sent directly to your inbox every Monday for FREE. The Week Ahead gives you a full calendar of upcoming key events to monitor in the coming week, as well as commentary and insight from our expert analysts on the major indices to watch.

For more info on how we might use your data, see our privacy notice and access policy and privacy webpage.

You might be interested in…

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.