Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold has run into a key resistance level, while oil is seeing increased volatility as the OPEC meeting gets closer. 

Oil pump
Source: Bloomberg

Gold hits resistance  

Gold rallied yesterday, taking the price back to resistance at $1264. So far this level continues to hold, so we are likely to see a retracement back to the current rising trendline, or even slightly lower.

A break above $1264 would likely trigger a wave of further buying, clearing the way to $1280 and higher. It needs a move back below $1245 to reverse the bullish outlook.

Brent sensitive to OPEC meeting news

As the clock ticks down to the OPEC meeting we can expect more news to cross the wires, and some has already appeared this morning, suggesting that it may be difficult to secure an agreement to extend production cuts.

However, until Brent reverses back below $52 it may be prudent to remain on the long side. Today’s dip to $53.60 may turn out to be a buying opportunity, particularly if the price can move back above the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at $54.03. 

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