Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

The commodity rally goes on, marking a substantial about-face in sentiment and price action compared to last week. 

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold getting strong

Despite finishing off the highs yesterday gold has continued to climb. It is still consolidating its hold above $1230, but a firm move above $1235 should open the way to $1240 and $1246.

Dips along the way should be viewed as buying opportunities, as long as the price holds above $1220. The news that hedge funds cut their long exposure by a record amount should not be seen as bearish, indeed it indicates a shift in positioning that should be viewed as bullish, as institutions begin buying gold once again.

Brent pushing up  

Having pushed through the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) at $51.96, Brent is now testing the 50-day SMA ($52.44) and the rising trendline off the November low.

The next region to watch on the daily chart seems to be $53.80, while a steady retracement towards $51.60 or even $50.50 would provide a fresh buying opportunity. 

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