CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Both crude and gold gain ground after recent losses. Will these moves be fleeting or more long-lasting?

IG Analyst

Publication date : 2017-05-10T10:51:51+0100

Oil pump

Source: Bloomberg

Gold falls into key support zone

Gold has been selling off in a very consistent manner of late, and, despite overnight gains, it would make sense to look for the same again. However, it is worth looking at this from a longer term perspective, at which point an ascending trendline (dating back to 2015) and the 76.4% retracement come into play. Since the turn of the year, gold has been trending upwards. For that to be negated, a break below $1195 would be required.

As such, there is a chance that we could see this market begin to turn around from here. For that to come into fruition we would be looking for a break through $1236. For now, gold is utilising last week’s lows of $1226 as resistance. This is accompanied by the 50% retracement. Watch that level as near term resistance. Yet it would not be a surprise to see the price move into a more bullish phase, with the $1236 level key to that. Until then, a break back below $1214 would point towards the market potentially ignoring this support zone and continuing its descent.

Gold price chart

Gold price chart

Gold price chart

Brent regaining ground after sell-off

Brent’s losses were swiftly reversed last week, with the price bouncing up to retrace some of the preceding downside. However, we are now seeing signs that this could be something more long-lasting than a short-term retracement. That is because of the higher low and potential for a break into a new high.

As such, the $50 mark is going to be crucial here, with a convincing break through that level pointing towards the possibility of a more long-lasting rebound. Until then, there is a chance we could just be looking at a short-term rebound amid a wider sell-off.

Brent price chart

Brent price chart

Brent price chart

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign marketing partners within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

This information/research prepared by IGA or IG Group is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. In addition to the disclaimer above, the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.

See important Research Disclaimer.

Find articles by writer

Disclaimer:

All forms of investments carry risks and trading CFDs may not be suitable for everyone. CFDs are leveraged instruments and can result in losses that exceed deposits, so please ensure that you fully understand, and are aware of, the risks and costs involved. Refer to the Risk Disclosure Statement and Risk Fact Sheet.

IG Asia Pte Ltd (Co.Reg.No. 200510021K) is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore and holds a capital markets services licence for dealing in capital markets products that are over-the-counter derivatives contracts and is an exempt financial adviser.

IG provides an execution-only service. The information in this advertisement does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. You should consider your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.

The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States or Belgium and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.