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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold continues to hesitate as we await a potential push higher from this consolidation. Meanwhile, Brent trades within a triangle formation, above a crucial long-term support level.

IG Analyst

Publication date : 2017-01-24T09:51:12+0000

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Awaiting gold breakout

Gold pulled back to $1209 support yesterday following a failure to break through the all-important $1219 mark. Following a break and retest of $1200 last week, there is reason to believe we will see gold push higher in a meaningful manner. We would need a convincing break through $1219 to provide greater confidence that this is about to occur.

Conversely, an hourly close below $1209 would bring about a question over whether we could soon be back at the key $1200 level.

Gold price chart

Gold price chart

Gold price chart

Brent rallying into key Fibonacci resistance

Brent crude is moving higher once more this morning, with price continuing to trade within a symmetrical triangle formation.  Interestingly, the trendline resistance ahead also coincides with the 76.4% retracement, providing a good shorting opportunity.

Conversely, given the existence of the long-term inverse head and shoulders neckline around $53.00-54.30, a reversal higher is certainly a possibility. Yet we would need to see a break through $57.19 to provide a bullish outlook. Until then, there is a good chance we will see this rally sold into once more.

Brent crude price chart

Brent crude price chart

Brent crude price chart

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