Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold’s resurgence has brought us back into a crucial resistance level, while Brent’s recent rebound could bring us another shorting opportunity.

IG Analyst

Publication date : 2018-11-30T09:52:46+0000

Gold

Source: Bloomberg

Gold consolidates below key resistance level

Gold has been moving sharply higher over the second half of the week, with the wider bullish trend seen over the past three months coming into play once more.

A break through the $1230 mark would provide a signal that the weakness we have been seeing over the first two weeks of November are over. Such a move would point towards a likely rally up through the $1237 and $1247 resistance levels. However, for the moment we need to watch for whether that level is broken or not, with a break below yesterday’s low of $1222 providing a bearish short-term view.

Gold chart

Gold chart

Gold chart

Brent rallies after minimal break lower yesterday

Brent managed to break into a new low yesterday, following yet another retracement. However, the failure to really gain any traction in that move meant that we subsequently started moving higher soon after.

That being said, we still remain within a downtrend, with a move above $61.50 required to negate the creation of lower highs. As such, another bearish reversal is certainly a possibility from here, with the respect of the 76.4% Fibonacci level pointing towards a downward move to come. As such, shorts are preferred unless we see a break through the $61.50 swing high.

Brent chart

Brent chart

Brent chart

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign marketing partners within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

This information/research prepared by IGA or IG Group is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. In addition to the disclaimer above, the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.

See important Research Disclaimer.

Find articles by writer

Disclaimer:

All forms of investments carry risks and trading CFDs may not be suitable for everyone. CFDs are leveraged instruments and can result in losses that exceed deposits, so please ensure that you fully understand, and are aware of, the risks and costs involved. Refer to the Risk Disclosure Statement and Risk Fact Sheet.

IG Asia Pte Ltd (Co.Reg.No. 200510021K) is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore and holds a capital markets services licence for dealing in capital markets products that are over-the-counter derivatives contracts and is an exempt financial adviser.

IG provides an execution-only service. The information in this advertisement does not contain (and should not be construed as containing) investment advice or an investment recommendation, or an offer of or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. You should consider your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.

The information on this site is not directed at residents of the United States or Belgium and is not intended for distribution to, or use by, any person in any country or jurisdiction where such distribution or use would be contrary to local law or regulation.

This advertisement has not been reviewed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore.