BHP vs FMG share prices: FY20 results compared
We compare and contrast the full-year (FY20) results releases from BHP Group and Fortescue Metals Group.
BHP & FMG share prices: comparative analysis
With Australia’s corporate earnings season quickly drawing to a close – we compare and contrast the earnings results from two of the country's largest and most important mining companies: BHP Group (BHP) and Fortescue Metals Group (FMG).
From a share price perspective, FMG has far outperformed BHP over the last month, rising some 13.01% in that period, compared to just 2.43% for BHP. Year-to-date Fortescue’s outperformance becomes even more pronounced, with the pure play miner surging 71% since January. BHP by comparison has seen its share price fall 1.64% in that period.
In spite of that performance differential, analysts continued to prefer BHP over FMG, assigning the diversified miner an Overweight rating, on average, according to the Wall Street Journal. Analysts currently have a Hold rating on FMG, on average, also according to the Wall Street Journal.
FY20 results comparison
Beyond the analyst consensus, both miners have benefitted from robust iron ore prices – with the CME iron ore front-month futures contract currently trading at US$122.34 per tonne – representing a multi-year high for the commodity.
BHP FY20 Results
- Underlying earnings (EBITDA) of US$22.1 billion, down 5%
- Profits after tax of US$8.0 billion, down 4%
- Full-year dividends of US 120 cents per share, down 10%
- 64% underlying earnings derived from iron ore segment
FMG FY20 Results
- Underlying earnings (EBITDA) of US$8.4 billion, up 38%
- Profits after tax of US$4.7 billion, up 49%
- Full-year dividends of 176 cents per share, up 54%
- 100% of underlying earnings derived from iron ore segment
Speaking of these results, BHP's CEO, Mike Henry said:
'BHP delivered a strong set of results for the 2020 financial year that reflect the strength, resilience and quality of our people and our portfolio. In a year marked by the challenges of the global COVID-19 pandemic, social unrest in Chile and commodity price volatility, we were safer, more reliable and lower cost.'
Similarly, FMG’s esteemed Chief Executive, Elizabeth Gaines said:
‘Once again, Fortescue's unique, differentiated culture underpinned the delivery of a year of outstanding performance for Fortescue, with record results achieved by the team across all of our key operating and financial measures while sustaining our clear focus on investment for future growth and development.'
How Macquarie reacted to the results
Analysts from Macquarie Wealth Management – who have remained bullish on Australia's iron ore miners due to robust cash flow yields and earnings momentum – reiterated Outperform ratings on both BHP and FMG in the wake of their FY20 results.
Overall, while the investment bank was impressed by BHP's strong free cash flow and headline earnings figures, which came in line with guidance; Macquarie analysts viewed the miner's CAPEX increases and the lack of further capital management announcements as two key negatives.
Regardless, Macquarie has a 12-month price target of $42.00 per share on the ASX-listed BHP, implying upside from current price levels.
As with BHP, Macquarie noted that Fortescue’s final dividend came in below their expectations, while also citing a 13% increase in greenhouse gas emissions as a key negative. Even so, the investment bank saw lots to like about the results, arguing that:
'FMG’s upgrade momentum is strong with a spot price scenario generating +90% higher earnings in FY21 and translating to a FCF yield of 17%.'
Macquarie has a price target of $19.00 per share on FMG.
What are your thoughts on FMG and BHP...
Are you bullish or bearish on the miners in the wake of their full-year results? Whatever your view, you can use CFDs to trade both rising and falling markets, through IG’s world-class trading platform now.
For example, to buy (long) or sell (short) BHP using CFDs, follow these easy steps:
IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.
The information/research herein is prepared by IG Asia Pte Ltd (IGA) and its foreign affiliated companies (collectively known as the IG Group) and is intended for general circulation only. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
Please see important Research Disclaimer.
Seize a share opportunity today
Go long or short on thousands of international stocks.
- Increase your market exposure with leverage
- Get spreads from just 0.1% on major global shares
- Trade CFDs straight into order books with direct market access
Live prices on most popular markets
Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.