Are Lloyds shares set to remain positive ahead of 2020 results?

The Lloyds share price experienced a rocky ride in the last 12 months, falling from pre-pandemic highs of 58p to lows of 23.98p. A rally at the end of 2020 has prompted analysts to consider the upside potential in Lloyds for 2021.

  • Dividend payments could return in 2021
  • Risk rating attached to Lloyds is reducing
  • What are the signs Lloyds has the funds to absorb losses?

The value of the Lloyds (LLOY.L) share price has pared some of the gains from the back end of 2020, falling from highs of 39.50p in November to 33p at the end of January. Nevertheless, there is renewed optimism for a more sustained rally in Lloyds shares for 2021, just a few weeks ahead of the bank’s full-year results for 2020.

With Lloyds set to publish the full picture of the effects of Covid-19 on its 2020 operations on 24 February, attention is already turning to what the outlook is for the UK’s largest retail bank.

Could Lloyds dividend return for shareholders in 2021?

Lloyds' last dividend – pre-pandemic – was 3.2p per share. Anything similar this year would therefore represent a much greater dividend yield, given that the Lloyds share price has almost halved.

In December 2020, the Bank of England’s (BoE’s) Prudential Regulation Authority enforced a temporary ban on dividend payments to the shareholders of the UK’s ‘big five’ banks, including Lloyds. That ban has since been lifted, prompting excitement among Lloyds shareholders.

Do risk factors appear to be diminishing for the Lloyds Banking Group?

Understandably, investors marked down the potential value of Lloyds assets based on the increasing default risks posed by the Covid-19 pandemic and subsequent lockdowns. The threat of a no-deal Brexit was also looming large on the horizon. Fortunately, a Brexit trade deal was agreed upon, and the UK is forging ahead with its bold nationwide vaccination programme; which analysts believe to be positive signs for the Lloyds share price.

As evidence of this, both Barclays and Deutsche Bank have lifted their price targets for Lloyds in recent weeks. After their own shares rallied off the back of Covid-19 vaccine news early in December, Barclays analysts reported that Lloyds’ recovery promises to be ‘bumpy’ and that the ‘situation remains fluid’. Meanwhile, Deutsche Bank analysts anticipate that there are ‘brighter days ahead’ for the UK retail banking sector as a whole.

Lloyds also appears to have an encouraging risk profile for the year ahead. Its capital ratio, last recorded at the end of quarter three (Q3) of 2020, was 15.2%. As this represents the amount of capital the bank has access to absorb losses and continue to lend to customers, this illustrates quite a positive surge. The ratio is, surprisingly, up from 13.8% at the beginning of 2020.

Read our ultimate guide to bank stocks and explore the best ones to watch

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign affiliates within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

The information/research herein is prepared by IG Asia Pte Ltd (IGA) and its foreign affiliated companies (collectively known as the IG Group) and is intended for general circulation only. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.

Please see important Research Disclaimer.

Seize a share opportunity today

Go long or short on thousands of international stocks.

  • Increase your market exposure with leverage
  • Get spreads from just 0.1% on major global shares
  • Trade CFDs straight into order books with direct market access

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices
liveprices.javascriptrequired
liveprices.javascriptrequired

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.

liveprices.javascriptrequired

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 20 mins.

The Momentum Report

Get the week’s momentum report sent directly to your inbox every Monday for FREE. The Week Ahead gives you a full calendar of upcoming key events to monitor in the coming week, as well as commentary and insight from our expert analysts on the major indices to watch.

For more info on how we might use your data, see our privacy notice and access policy and privacy webpage.

You might be interested in…

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.