Crash continues as US takes reins

The crude crash pushes a potential BoE hike further away each day as the Western markets take over in global selloff. 

London skyline
Source: Bloomberg

For once, Chinese markets took their lead from the Western world, with yesterday’s crash in US markets dragging both European and Asian markets with it. The issue here is that before long people will forget why they are selling, but continue to sell simply due to the fear factor.

Yesterday felt like the beginning of that. US crude inventories actually rose less than expected yesterday, which ordinarily would have been bullish for oil prices, yet once more the trend was the most important thing and everyone is looking for another reason to sell crude, which of course means the FTSE 100 in particular is dragged lower once more.

Today will see traders focus upon the Bank of England provide its votes, statement and minutes as it will once more opt to keep rates on hold. In the current climate of tumbling oil prices, crashing stock markets and a likely next leg lower for inflation expectations, it is clear the UK rate hike forecasts continue to push further back day by day.

The relative resurgence in the top four supermarkets appears to be the story of the UK earnings season to date, with today seeing Tesco report better-than-expected like-for-like sales, up 2.1% overall and 1.3% higher in the UK division. While threats of further expansion for the German discount duo (Aldi and Lidl) cannot be ruled out, this at least provides some hope for long-term investors that the fightback has begun.

Ahead of the open we expect the Dow Jones to start 69 points higher, at 16,220.

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign marketing partners within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

This information/research prepared by IGA or IGA Group is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. In addition to the disclaimer above, the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.

See important Research Disclaimer.