Levels to watch: FTSE, DAX and Dow

Indices begin to show some signs of a resurgence, as they follow overnight gains in Asia. However, there is a good chance that this could provide selling opportunities for a continuation of the recent downtrend.

Data
Source: Bloomberg

FTSE rally unlikely to last

The FTSE 100 is finally seeing some respite from the incessant selling of late, with the index rallying in response to Asian gains. However, this looks more like a retracement than a bottom and thus we would need to see an hourly close back above 5991 to negate the downtrend in the short-term.

Of particular interest is the 76.4% retracement as a point of resistance. Thus be on the lookout for a potential reversal back onto the downtrend, with key support levels at 5906 and 5844. However, should we see an hourly close above 5991, we could see the index gain further ground, with 6006 and 6042 the next resistance levels. 

DAX returns to Fibonacci resistance

Yesterday saw the DAX sell off from the 76.4% Fibonacci level and this possibility comes back into play today, with price back up above this level. We are seeing a clear push towards the crucial 9633 level, which would need to be broken to negate this short-term bearish view.

Clearly the fact that yesterday’s sell-off failed to break to a new low below 9509 is a worry, yet much like the FTSE, a bearish view remains in place unless we see an hourly close above 9633. Key support is found at 9509 and 9442, with resistance at 9633 and 9760.

 Will resurgence persist for the Dow?

The Dow Jones is also seeing some morning strength today, with the index pushing past the 76.4% retracement. While we have seen the creation of short-term higher highs and higher lows, these seem like smaller scale adjustments and as such an hourly close above 17,736 would be required to negate this bearish short-term view.

Thus a move back down to 17,594 seems more likely than a break higher.

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