Weak Chinese figures knock copper

Falling overnight HSBC Chinese manufacturing figures have knocked the copper price, as the Asian powerhouse stutters. 

Last night HSBC’s figures for Chinese manufacturing dropped from 50.5 in the previous month to 49.6 – a whole percentage below its expected level. To miss its target is one thing but to miss by a percentage point and move into contraction is more than a little disappointing – not since July last year have HSBC’s figures shown contraction.

Early-hours trading saw a particularly weak-looking copper price. The spot market has been somewhat propped up by positive figures issued out around Europe; there has been support for the metal in European trading, with Spanish, German, French and EU manufacturing PMI figures all coming in better-than-expected (although French figures have just managed to slow the rate of contraction).

The next signpost for demand will be this afternoon’s US existing home sales figures, due to be posted at 3pm (London time). However, US demand for copper is not as large as that of the Chinese manufacturing community.

The $3.29 low from 9 January still looks to be a key level; and any fresh low created should be heeded as a warning sign for those long on the metal.

High grade copper chart

IGA, may distribute information/research produced by its respective foreign marketing partners within the IG Group of companies pursuant to an arrangement under Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, IGA accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore recipients should contact IGA at 6390 5118 for matters arising from, or in connection with the information distributed.

This information/research prepared by IGA or IGA Group is intended for general circulation. It does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation or particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. In addition to the disclaimer above, the information does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. Any views and opinions expressed may be changed without an update.

See important Research Disclaimer.