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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

US bank earnings and price forecasts: Citigroup Inc Q2 2022 results preview

Citigroup trades on valuation discount and dividend premium to its peers ahead of Q2 results.

Citigroup Source: Bloomberg

When are the Citigroup results expected?

Citigroup is set to release second quarter results for the fiscal year 2022 (Q2 2022) on the 15th of July 2022.

What is ‘The Street’s’ expectation for the Q2 2022 results?

‘The Street’ expectations for the upcoming results are as follows:

- Revenue of $18.098 billion (+3.57% year-on-year - YoY)

- Earnings per share $1.69 (-35.89% YoY)

How to trade Citigroup into the results

Recommendations Source: Refinitiv

Refinitiv data shows a consensus (27) of analyst ratings at ‘buy’ for Citigroup.

A mean of estimates suggest a long-term share price target of $60.17 for the company. The current share price trades at a 29% discount to this assumed long-term fair value (as of the 11th of July 2022).

Client sentiment Source: IG

IG sentiment data shows that 95% of clients with open positions on the share (as of the 11th of July 2022) expect the price to rise over the near-term, while 5% of these clients expect the price to fall.

Client sentiment Source: IG

The above table compares Citigroup against a peer average (which includes Goldman Sachs, Bank of America, Wells Fargo, JP Morgan and Morgan Stanley) in terms of dividend yield and price to earnings (PE) multiples.

Citigroup currently trades at a discount to its sector peers in terms of a historical and forward PE, as well as the S&P 500 benchmark index (at a PE of 28 times). The group’s dividend offering has been higher than its peers in aggregate.

Citigroup – technical view

Citigroup chart Source: ProRealTime

The long-term price trend for the share price of Citigroup remains down, evidenced by the price trading firmly below the 200-day simple moving average (blue line) and the red trendline on our chart.

The share is, however, moving out of oversold territory in the very near-term. The long-term trend takes precedence with support considered at 46 and 41.30 respectively.

A downside break (confirmed with a close) of the 46.00 level would call for further decline with 41.30 the initial target considered. Only if a rebound from oversold territory takes the price back above the major high at 54.00, would we reassess the merits of returning a long bias to trades on the company.

In summary

- Citigroup is set to release Q2 2022 results on the 15th of July 2022

- Q2 2022 are expected to show a YoY increase in revenue and large decline in earnings per share

- Long-term broker consensus suggests the share to currently be a ‘buy’, with a longer-term price target of $60.17

- IG clients with open positions on the share are predominantly long

- The long-term price trend for Citigroup is down

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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