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CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. CFDs are complex financial instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work, and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.

​​Where to next for USD/JPY, GBP/JPY and GBP/USD following BoE and BoJ rate decisions?

​​Outlook on USD/JPY, GBP/JPY and GBP/USD as US dollar is on track for its tenth straight week of gains.

JPY Source: Bloomberg

​​​USD/JPY puts pressure on its ten-month high

​There is no stopping USD/JPY's advance as the US dollar is on track for its tenth consecutive week of gains amid the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) hawkish pause while the Bank of Japan (BoJ) rigorously holds onto its dovish stance. The central bank stuck to its short-term interest rate at -0.1% and that of the ten-year bond yields at around 0% at this morning’s monetary policy meeting.

​USD/JPY is fast approaching its ten-month high at ¥148.46, made on Thursday. A rise above this level would put the ¥150.00 region back on the cards, around which the BoJ may intervene, though.

​Immediate upside pressure will be maintained while USD/JPY stays above its July-to-September uptrend line at ¥147.51 and Thursday’s low at ¥147.33. While this minor support area underpins, the July-to-September uptrend remains intact.

USD/JPY chart Source: IT-Finance.com
USD/JPY chart Source: IT-Finance.com

​GBP/JPY tries to recover from six-week lows

GBP/JPY accelerated to the downside as the Bank of England (BoE) kept its rates steady at Thursday’s monetary policy meeting and hit a six-week low at ¥180.81, close to the August low at ¥180.46.

​On Friday the cross is trying to bounce off the ¥180.81 low as the BoJ also kept its rates unchanged and reiterated its dovish stance while the annual inflation rate in Japan edged down to 3.2% in August, its lowest in three months.

​Good resistance can be spotted between the mid-September low at ¥182.52 and the 55-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥183.04.

GBP/JPY chart Source: IT-Finance.com
GBP/JPY chart Source: IT-Finance.com

GBP/USD trades in six-month lows

​Following the BoE decision to keep rates steady at 5.25% the British pound continued its descent to six month lows versus the greenback.

GBP/USD fall through Thursday’s $1.2235 low would target the mid-March high and 24 March low at $1.2004 to $1.2191.

​Minor resistance now sits at the $1.2309 May low and significantly further up along the 200-day SMA at $1.2435. While remaining below it, the bearish trend stays firmly entrenched.

GBP/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com
GBP/USD chart Source: IT-Finance.com

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.
CFDs are a leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your initial deposit, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

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