Australia 200 hits four-month highs following US-China trade discussions and strong US jobs data. Consumer confidence remains subdued despite market optimism.
The Australia 200 trades 70 points (0.82%) higher at 8586 as of 3.00pm AEST.
Refreshed from the King's Birthday long weekend, the Australia 200 has surged today, hitting a four-month high of 8592 and is poised for its highest daily close on record.
Today's gains follow a stronger-than-expected jobs report in the United States (US) on Friday night and President Donald Trump's announcement that US and Chinese officials will hold trade talks this week.
The trade talks, which began in London overnight, are set to continue this week, focusing on resolving disputes over tariffs, rare earth mineral exports, technology restrictions, and student visas. China appears to have approved increased rare earth exports, signalling goodwill, but no major tariff breakthroughs or comprehensive agreements have been confirmed.
For the Australia 200 to continue its ascent this week, it would be beneficial to see the agreements made in Geneva last month become permanent.
US tariffs on Chinese goods were temporarily reduced from 145% to 30%, and Chinese tariffs on US goods from 125% to 10% for 90 days. Additional assurances from China regarding rare earth access could result in the US relaxing export controls on technologies like semiconductors.
Back home, the Westpac consumer confidence index rose just 0.5% to 92.6 in May, undershooting consensus expectations for a 94.4 print and remaining well below the long-term average. The lacklustre reading supports the case for additional monetary easing by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA).
The prospect of more RBA interest rate cut hopes and trade optimism lifted consumer-facing stocks.
The financial sector hit a record high of 9449, marking a 25% recovery from its April low. Major banks led the charge:
Mixed trade in the miners followed weak China inflation data, which confirmed a fourth consecutive month of consumer deflation.
Uranium stocks surged on bullish momentum.
Despite the Australia 200’s impressive rebound from the April low, we do not see the grounds for a sustained break of the record high. Hence, we will be watching closely for evidence of a double top formation as the precursor to a pullback.
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