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FTSE 100, DAX and Dow weakening after Monday’s rebound

FTSE 100, DAX, and Dow are starting to build bearish momentum once again, with Monday’s rebound looking increasingly like a retracement.

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FTSE 100 consolidates ahead of likely downturn

The FTSE 100 has been consolidating overnight, with the index likely to be pausing ahead of another decline.

The wider trend of lower highs and lows seen throughout August points towards a likely move lower before long, with a break through 7189 required to bring about a new bullish outlook. A bearish picture remains in play, therefore, unless the price breaks through the 7189 level.

FTSE 100 price chart Source: ProRealTime
FTSE 100 price chart Source: ProRealTime

DAX reversing lower after deep retracement

The DAX also looks set for another period of weakness, with yesterday’s rally taking the index into the 76.4% Fibonacci retracement level (11,758).

Given the recent creation of lower highs and lows, coupled with the Fibonacci resistance level, further downside looks likely. With that in mind, a bearish outlook is in play here, with a break through the 11,854 swing-high required to negate that view.

DAX price chart Source: ProRealTime
DAX price chart Source: ProRealTime

Dow grinding lower after recent rebound

Much like the FTSE 100 and DAX, the Dow Jones managed to regain ground on Monday, with the price rising into the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. However, we are seeing the price turn lower from that resistance level, in what could be another leg back towards the lower ends of the recent 25,075-26,425 consolidation zone.

The trend of marginally higher lows over the course of August points towards a break below 25,354 being needed to bring a wider bearish signal. Nonetheless, until that happens, it looks likely we will see the price drift lower towards the bottom end of the recent consolidation zone.

Dow price chart Source: ProRealTime
Dow price chart Source: ProRealTime

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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