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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Both gold and Brent start to turn a corner, with a potential commodity rally on the cards.

Oil pump
Source: Bloomberg

Gold pulls back following notable rally

Gold has managed to break through the notable resistance level of $1209 on Friday, following a pullback to $1200 last week. This looks to pave the way for a period of strength for gold, yet the key challenge to overcome will be $1219. This morning has seen the market fail at that level, with price currently pulling back.

However, given Friday’s price action, this looks like a temporary retracement before we push higher once more. As such, as long as we do not see an hourly close below $1199, then a bullish outlook remain in place. Support levels of particular importance are $1209 (50% retracement and previous swing high) and $1204 (76.4% retracement).

Could Brent be set for a recovery?

Brent crude failed to break below the critical $53.00 mark last week, despite a clear downtrend into this key area of support. Interestingly, last week’s price action provided us with the creation of a new higher low, pointing towards a potential recovery from this major support zone.

It also means we are now looking at a symmetrical triangle formation, which is certainly more encouraging for Brent bulls. For us to start looking for long positions, we would need to see a four-hourly close above $57.19.  Until then, there is a good chance this triangle pattern will continue to rule Brent price action.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.