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The annual inflation rate in March 2018 was recorded at 3,8%, which is 0.2% lower than the corresponding annual rate of 4,0% in February 2018. On average, prices increased by 0,4% between February 2018 and March 2018.
Retail trade sales increased by 4,9% year-on-year in February 2018. The highest annual growth rates were recorded for retailers in household furniture, appliances and equipment, retailers in textiles, clothing, footwear and leather goods and all 'other' retailers.
Motor trade sales increased by 3,5% year-on-year in February 2018. The largest annual growth rates were recorded for fuel sales, new vehicle sales and convenience store sales.
Wholesale trade sales increased by 0,7% in February 2018 compared with February 2017.
|24 April||16:00||USD||CB Consumer Confidence||127.7|
|25 April||16:30||USD||Crude Oil Inventories||-1.1m|
|26 April||13:45||EUR||Minimum Bid Rate||0.00%|
|26 April||11:30||ZAR||PPI y/y||4.20%|
|26 April||14:30||EUR||ECB Press Conference|
|26 April||14:30||USD||Core Durable Goods Orders m/m||1%|
|27 April||Tentative||JPY||BOJ Policy Rate||-0.10%|
|27 April||Tentative||JPY||Monetary Policy Statement|
|27 April||Tentative||JPY||BOJ Outlook Report|
|27 April||Tentative||JPY||BOJ Press Conference|
|27 April||10:30||USD||Prelim GDP q/q||0.40%|
|27 April||14:30||GBP||Advance GDP q/q||2.90%|
Source: Economic Calendar, as of 20/04/2018
Diminishing trade war tensions between the US and China are boding well for commodity prices in general, although reduced safe haven demand has seen precious metal prices lagging.
Crude oil prices have rallied to levels not seen since 2014 as a perfect storm of catalysts meet to aid gains in the commodities’ pricing. Suggestions from Saudi Arabian authorities have been that the global oversupply in crude oil is now starting to abate and that supply could rebalance in line with demand, by as soon as the end of June 2018. While OPEC are currently monitoring oil production and inventories of industrialized nations, a review (with OPEC and major Non-OPEC producers) on the current output limit agreements is scheduled for the latter part of June. Current supply curbs are scheduled up until the end of December 2018, although speculation is that these production limits could be extended at the meeting. Saudi officials have already made the comments that they hope/expect to see Brent trading back at the $80/barrel to $100/barrel levels once again.
In the US, recent data has suggested falling stockpiles in crude inventory held by commercial firms. It has also been reported that demand for gasoline has surged in the region ahead of the peak summertime demand/consumption part of the year. While demand is high, geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and some Donald Trump tweets of antagony towards major oil producer, Russia, have further oil price gains as of late. Furthering the supply concerns in the Middle East is the possibility of the US renewing sanctions on Iran.
The rand has managed to claw back some gains this week as emerging market currencies recover amidst an improved appetite for riskier assets.
The rand remains in broad trading range against its frontier market currency peers, the Euro and the Dollar.
Against the dollar, the range considered is between levels R11.50/$ and R12.20/$.
Against the Euro, the range considered is between levels R14.35/EUR and R15.10/EUR
Against the British Pound, the rand weakened to break out of the range only to claw back some strength this week. The pound has been particularly soft after having gained substantially against most currencies in the week preceding, with perhaps the softer than expected inflation data out of the region on Wednesday, expected to temper the hawkish outlook from the Bank of England.
Clicks Group Limited: 1H18 results showed diluted earnings per share to have increased by rose 15.1% from previous year’s comparative period.
Pick N Pay Stores Limited FY18 results showed diluted headline earnings per share to have increased by 7.7% from the previous year.
Pioneer Food Group Limited released a 1H18 trading statementguiding that the company expects a 25.0% to 35.0% increase in headline earnings per share.
Massmart Holdings has said that The Group’s sales performance for the first 12 weeks of 2018 has been soft which is a trend noted by other participants in South African retail. Total sales growth is slightly positive while comparable sales growth is slightly negative, with product deflation of -0.4%. Sales growths in Rands from our stores outside South Africa are at similar levels as these Group figures. Food sales growth remains low due to ongoing deflation in commodities, which should move into inflation from April/May 2018.
Cashbuild Limited released a 3Q18 operational update, guiding that revenue is expected to have increased by 7.0% against the prior year’s comparative period.
Royal Bafokeng Platinum Limited released a1Q18 production report guiding that the total tonnes milled advanced 9.9%
Pallinghurst Resources Limited FY17 results showed diluted earnings per share to have declined by 33.3% from the previous year.
|24 April||Q1 2018 Anglo American Platinum Ltd Corporate Production Report|
|25 April||Q1 2018 Gold Fields Ltd Corporate Operating Update|
|25 April||Half Year 2018 RDI Reit PLC Earnings Release Q2 2018|
|25 April||Half Year 2018 RDI Reit PLC Earnings Call|
|26 April||Q3 2018 Impala Platinum Holdings Ltd Corporate Sales Release|