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Buy set-up evolving in US Crude

I’ve taken a look at US Crude across two timeframes using two different perspectives.

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Source: Bloomberg

The first chart is the daily chart with the Ichimoku indicator overlay.

The recent corrective move saw price to $50.50 level, which importantly is the Kijun–Sen support level, the middle price of the past 26 periods. This is the second level of support after the price moved into the future cloud. Importantly, the Chikou Span remains above the price of 26 periods ago and this is a bullish factor. The future cloud Senkou Span A is currently rising, which also portrays a bullish technical set-up.

210417-US-crude

The second timeframe that gives a solid look at the current support level and supports my view that we have seen a low in US Crude is the four-hour chart.

In this chart the price structure can be seen moving below the middle average before breaking the first support level at $53.00. The following corrective move to $50.50 resulted in a small rally over four periods to fall again at (b). This new closing low has resulted in the RSI making a higher low (2). The current bullish hammer has the potential to finalise the double bottom at $50.50.

A move higher would confirm a swing buy signal in the RSI as the indicator moves over point (1). Also confirming the downside volatility is nearing an end, the top Bollinger Band is rolling back towards the price.

As a first upside target I would use the middle average value at $52.00.

210417-US-crude-4-hour

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.