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The chart considered is that of Exxaro (candlestick) with a Relative Strength Comparison (RSC) indicator added. The RSC (blue line) compares the price of one security with that of another in a ratio format. The RSC has experienced a decline in value recently which highlights that security 1 (Exxaro) has been underperforming security 2 (Anglos). Bollinger Bands have been added to the RSC and highlight the underperformance of security 1 reaching abnormality relative to the usual relationship of the two securities. It is expected that the relationship between the two securities will revert back to normality favouring a possible pair trade opportunity i.e. Long Exxaro Short Anglos. The target from the technical indications would be for the RSC to move back towards the 20MA (red line) which is regarded as the mean. This could occur with the price movements of the securities in a number of ways;
Should one of these scenarios play out successfully the expectation would be for a net gain of 3.9%. A stop-loss would be considered equal to the anticipated gain of 3.9%.
The share price of Sasol has formed a short term bullish reversal pattern known as a double bottom formation. The pattern is marked with the blue “W” and alludes to a change in the direction of the short term trend from down to up. A move towards gap resistance at 46000 is considered from the reversal. Should the share price instead move to close below the low at 40850, the bullish indications would be deemed to have failed.
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