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The Nedbank Group posts a solid set of results

Headline earnings up by 11% to R15.7 billion

Source: Bloomberg

Key takeaways:

  1. Solid Financial Performance amidst Challenges: Nedbank Group Limited anchieved an 11% growth in headline earnings to R15.7 billion for the year ended December 31, 2023, despite operating in a challenging economic environment.
  2. Commitment to Shareholder Value and Transparency: The decision to declare a final dividend of 1,022 cents per share, marking an 18% increase, reflects a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders.
  3. Achievement of Strategic Financial Targets: Successfully meeting all post-Covid targets for 2023, including surpassing 2019 diluted headline earnings per share and maintaining a high Net Promoter Score, illustrates the firm's strategic planning and execution efficiency.
  4. Investment in Technology and Sustainability for Future Growth: The nearing completion of the Managed Evolution programme and the bank's commitment to sustainable development finance demonstrate an innovative approach to business growth and social responsibility.
  5. Forward-Looking Leadership Transition: The upcoming retirement of CEO Mike Brown and the succession by Jason Quinn in May 2024 present an opportunity for continuity and fresh perspectives at the helm.

Comments on Nedbank FY23 results

Nedbank Group Limited reported a solid financial performance for the year ended December 31, 2023, with headline earnings up by 11% to R15.7 billion, supported by a 12% increase in revenue and associate income and an 18% increase in its final dividend to 1,022 cents per share. The company has successfully managed expenses and completed a R5 billion capital optimisation initiative, further enhancing earnings growth and return on equity. Notably, all strategic post-Covid targets for 2023 were achieved, including surpassing the diluted headline earnings per share from 2019 and maintaining the highest Net Promoter Score among South African banks. The bank's investment in technology and commitment to sustainability have positioned it strongly for future growth, aiming for a return on equity of 17% by 2025. As CEO Mike Brown prepares for his retirement in May 2024, he leaves behind a solid foundation for his successor, Jason Quinn, to further propel Nedbank Group's success.

Long term broker ratings and price target

Source: Refinitiv

A consensus of 11 analyst estimates sourced from Refinitiv data (as of the 6th of March 2024) suggests a long-term buy for Nedbank. A mean of these analyst’s price targets suggests a long term (12 month) fair value of 25215c for the stock.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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