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Oil prices looking bullish despite OPEC news

Oil prices have formed a bullish price reversal despite the OPEC+ decision to increase output more than expected

Source: Bloomberg

Oil prices have erased early losses and started to renew gains despite news that OPEC (Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries) and its allies (OPEC+) will look to increasing production of crude by a greater margin than before. OPEC+ will look to increase output by 648 000 barrels per day in July and again in August this year.

With the European Union now having also made plans to embargo Russian oil this last week, the increase in OPEC+ production seeks to help keep the lost supply in check.

Brent Crude

Source: IG Charts
Source: IG Charts

The price of Brent Crude has now pulled back to support after its recent breakout and rally to a short term high. The pullback looks to be ending with a bullish engulfing candle pattern (circled blue). This suggests a second opportunity for long entry for breakout traders.

$120/barrel becomes the initial upside target from the move, while traders who are long might consider using a close below the reversal low at $112.30/barrel low as a stop loss indication.

WTI Crude

Source: IG Charts
Source: IG Charts

West Texas Intermediate (WTI) oil has followed a similar path to that of its peer Brent Crude. After a recent breakout, the price has pulled back to support at $111.50/barrel.

We are seeing a bullish price reversal forming (circled blue) at this support level. The long term trend remains up, and the short term reversal suggests that this trend may now being continued. $118.70/barrel becomes the initial target from the move. Traders who are long might consider using a close below the reversal low at 110 as a stop loss indication.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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