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MTN share price resumes uptrend after FY21 results and dividend reinstatement

In the below article we summarize the FY21 results from MTN and take a look at how the share price is reacting to the news.

Source: Bloomberg

MTN FY 2021 results

The MTN Group has delivered a solid set of results for the year ending 31 December 2021, a summary of which is as follows:

  • Service revenue increased by 18.3% to R171bn

  • Data revenue increased by 36.5% to R56.5bn

  • Fintech revenue increased by 30.9% to R15.9bn

  • Earnings Before Interest Tax Depreciation AMortisation (EBITDA) increased by 23.7% to R80.8bn

  • Adjusted Headline Earnings per Share (HEPS) increased by 26.6%

  • Group net debt to EBITDA at 0.4 times

  • Operating free cash flow increased by 35.2% to R38.3bn

  • Final dividend of 300c per share declared

Comment on MTN FY21 results

The MTN Group has seen strong gains in revenue, with substaintial growth recorded across all of its key divisions. Service revenue remains the most substantial for the group. The Nigerian contribution thereto (+23.2%) lead growth, while service revenue from its South African operations was modestly higher (+6.5%), although inline with group guidance.

MTN has done well to continue deleveraging the business with net debt to EBITDA having essentially halved over the financial year. MTN remains extremely cash generative and is again rewarding shareholders by reinstating its full year dividend. Forward guidance suggests that this dividend offering could see an annual escalaltion of around 10% in the new year. A forward price to earnings ratio of around 15 times is a slight premium to the industry mean (13 times), although the group is now delivering growth while still offering an attractive yield.

MTN – Technical Analysis

Source: IG Charts

In a previous note on MTN (Technical Tuesday report) we highlighted the bullish wedge continuation pattern which had formed. The price has since broken out of the pattern and exceeded the 19740 resistance target.

The price has since produced its first pullback from the new short term high. The pullback from the recent high looks to have ended with a sharp reversal. In turn it appears as though the longer-term uptrend is now resuming once more. 19740 and 21155 become the initial upside targets from the move. Traders who are long might consider using the dotted trend line on the chart as a trailing stop loss indication for the trade.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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