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Microsoft share price and Q3 2022 results preview

What to expect and how to trade Microsoft’s upcoming results

Microsoft Source: Bloomberg

When are the Microsoft results expected?

The Microsoft Corporation is set to release quarter three (Q3) 2022 results on the 26 April 2022. The results are for the fiscal quarter ending March 2022.

What is ‘The Street’s’ expectations for the Q3 2022 results?

‘The Street’ expectations for the upcoming results are as follows:

Markets are expecting revenue to be supported by robust cloud service demand. Previous guidance from the group has suggested that Intelligent Cloud revenue for Q3 could be as much as $19 billion.

Other key business areas to watch for Microsoft are the Productivity and Business Processes division, which is expected to bring in revenue of between $15.6 billion and $15.85 billion, as well as the more computing division which is expected to add between $14.15 billion and $14.45 billion. That is according to Microsoft’s earnings call guidance in the previous quarter.

How to trade Microsoft into the results

Analyst per level Source: Refinitiv
Analyst per level Source: Refinitiv

Refinitiv data shows a consensus analyst rating of ‘buy’ for Microsoft, with the median of estimates suggesting a long term price target of $368.33 for the share, roughly 28% higher than the current price (as of 20 April 2022).

Client sentiment Source: IG
Client sentiment Source: IG

IG sentiment data shows that 97% of clients with open positions on the share (as of 20 April 2022) expect the price to rise over the near term, while 3% of these clients expect the price to fall.

Microsoft Corp – technical view

Microsoft technical view Source: ProRealTime
Microsoft technical view Source: ProRealTime

The share price of Microsoft has broken its long-term uptrend. The price whipsawing through the 200 day simple moving average (SMA) blue line, suggests that we have now moved into sideways range trading environment.

The near-term range for Microsoft is considered between levels $272.75 (support) and $315.00 (resistance). We have seen a bullish price reversal just above the support of this range. The price reversal is supported by a move out of oversold territory by the stochastic oscillator. $315.00 becomes the initial upside target from the move. Traders who are long might consider using a close below $272.75 as a stop loss indication for the trade.

Summary

  • Microsoft Corp. is set to release Q3 2022 results on 26 April 2022
  • Q3 2022 results are expected to show a YoY increase in both revenue and EPS
  • Long-term broker consensus suggests the share to currently be a ‘buy’, with a longer term price target of $368.33
  • IG clients with open positions on the share are predominantly long
  • The share currently trades in a broad range having recently formed a bullish price reversal from oversold territory

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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