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Market melt-up to persist due to social security benefit risks

Wall street continues to defy gravity. One area of support for equities comes from investors close to retirement.

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John Stoltzfus, Chief Investment Strategist at Oppenheimer Asset Management says investors are looking to invest in stocks for retirement purposes at a time when it is projected that US social security benefits could be at risk of being reduced in the not-too-distant future. Stoltzfus explains the ramifications of this to IG’s Angeline Ong.

(AI Video Summary)

Despite 11 rate hikes since March 2022, the U.S. economy has avoided recession, supported by strong consumer and business resilience. Improved earnings and increased equity allocations by Americans concerned about future Social Security reliability are driving market momentum. Stoltzfus also touched on sector diversification and the significant influence of potential long-term AI innovations on market efficiency and profitability. With ongoing political events like elections, market dynamics could shift based on fiscal policies favored by winning parties. Stoltzfus's firm forecasts a year-end S&P 500 target of 5,500, emphasizing the resilience of U.S. equities in face of rate hikes and political changes.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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