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Levels to watch: FTSE, DAX and Dow

An ongoing Dow rally contrasts with notable weakness on the DAX, and a potentially worrying development on the FTSE 100. 

New York Stock Exchange trader
Source: Bloomberg

FTSE 100 on the edge of turning bearish

Yesterday saw the FTSE close below the rising trendline that has held since November 2016, and so we will watch to see whether it can break back above it today.

A failure to climb back above 7408 could be the bearish development that many have been looking for, although there is still support at 7360, 7294 and 7260. If the index does post a daily close back above the rising trendline, then the way is clear for a test of 7450 and the downtrend line off the June highs.

DAX sees a new lower low

Rallies continue to be sold on the DAX, with yesterday seeing a new low below that of Friday’s, if only just. The next areas to watch for support are 12,032 and then the 200-day simple moving average SMA (currently at 11,888).

We would need to see a move back above 12,300 to break the sequence of lower highs and lower lows that prevails at the moment. 

Dow hits a record high

A fresh record high yesterday confirms the strength of the uptrend on the Dow Jones, and we would need to see a push back below 21,700 to even consider a more bearish view.

We have seen little in the way of retracements over the past few sessions, so even a pullback to the 50-hour SMA of 21,861 could provide the dip that fresh buyers are looking for. 

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.