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Gold prices and US dollar turn to PPI and sentiment data before the weekend

Gold prices marked time as US dollar, Treasury yields diverged; all eyes turn to US PPI and sentiment data due later on Friday and XAU/USD eyes Rising Wedge as DXY Index eyes 200-day SMA.

Source: Bloomberg

Gold prices were little changed on Thursday amid divergent performance between the US dollar and Treasury yields. The anti-fiat yellow metal often finds itself the most sensitive to the latter two instruments moving in the same direction. This means that when the Greenback and bond yields go their own separate ways, that could mute XAU/USD’s performance.

A rally on Wall Street helped propel Dow Jones and S&P 500 futures by about 0.53% and 0.74%, respectively. The rosy session cooled demand for safety, placing the anti-risk US dollar on the defensive. The DXY Index closed at its lowest since the beginning of this week. Demand for Treasuries likely faded, pushing down prices as yields climbed.

When the latter two move in different directions, the net effect on gold can be neutralized. This is leaving XAU/USD facing US PPI and University of Michigan consumer sentiment data due over the remaining 24 hours. These will be some of the last key data Fed officials will see before next week’s interest rate decision. Rosy data could continue reinvigorating hawkish policy bets, leaving gold at risk.

Gold technical analysis

On the daily chart, gold appears to be trading within the boundaries of a bearish Rising Wedge chart formation. A breakout lower could open the door to resuming the dominant downtrend from earlier this year. That would place the focus on the 50-day Simple Moving Average, which may reinstate the near-term upside bias. Immediate resistance seems to be at 1810.


XAU/USD daily chart

Source: TradingView

US dollar technical analysis

As for the DXY dollar Index, the currency continues to consolidate around the 105.34 – 104.64 inflection zone. Prices are also trying to confirm a breakout under the key 200-day SMA. That could open the door to a broader shift in USD’s direction, exposing the 103.41 – 103.93 support zone from June. In the event of a turn higher, keep a close eye on the 50-day SMA< which could reinstate the near-term downside bias.

DXY daily chart

Source: TradingView

This information has been prepared by DailyFX, the partner site of IG offering leading forex news and analysis. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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