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GBP/USD pushing higher amid broad weakness in the greenback

GBP/USD reclaims 1.2550 after retracing some of Wednesday’s decline; lighter volumes as UK celebrates the queen; risk benefitting and near-term calendar is quiet ahead of June 16 BOE meeting.

Source: Bloomberg

The pound pushed well into the 1.2550 region amid broad US dollar weakness on Thursday, which helped reclaim some of the territory lost during Wednesday’s sharp pullback. Extremely hot inflation and slowing economic data leaves the Pound vulnerable, and that is excluding mounting political pressure on Prime Minister Boris Johnson.

Sterling appears to be benefitting from lighter FX volumes, as UK markets are off for the rest of the week to celebrate the Queen’s platinum jubilee. Risk in general has taken these lighter volumes in stride, with US equity benchmarks higher and safe haven FX heading lower. Despite the pop, GBP/USD remains lower on the week, after 1.26 offered little to no support in yesterday’s session. The Pound may remain vulnerable as traders jostle ahead of a key period of G10 central bank meetings. Friday’s NFP report in the US could see Sterling sink back below the 1.25 threshold, should the report come in hot.

GBP/USD four hour chart

Source: TradingView

The UK economic calendar appears light ahead of the June 16th Bank of England policy meeting. Retail sales and PMI data highlight quiet period before a flurry of central bank meetings. With the Fed, BoE, and ECB all set to raise rates in such a short span of time, we may be in store for a period of heightened volatility across G10 FX.

Upside potential in the Pound remains limited below 1.2650, as price was unable to break through that area last week. A fall into the 1.2450 area may present an opportunity for bulls to reload, as this area has offered strong support for much of the last three weeks.

Upcoming UK economic calendar

Source: TradingView

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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