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FX levels to watch – GBP/USD, EUR/USD, USD/JPY

Dollar bulls are running rampant in USD/JPY while euro watchers are now waiting for the ECB’s latest decision. 

Pound sterling
Source: Bloomberg

GBP/USD disappointing after the post-budget rally

Yesterday’s GBP/USD rally around the budget failed to shift the general trend, although, for now, the bulls are managing to hold the price above $1.2150.

The next areas to watch are $1.2065 and then $1.1916, even with the pair heavily oversold on the daily chart, the path of least resistance appears to be lower. It will take a move back above $1.2390 to reverse the bearish outlook here.

EUR/USD unsure ahead of Draghi’s decision

Today will likely see plenty of volatility as the European Central Bank issues its last decision. The EUR/USD has been in steady retreat since the 6 March failure to break above $1.06.

However, $1.05 has held so we could see a rally if Mario Draghi hints at any early end to stimulus. The levels to watch on the upside are still $1.0620 and then $1.0680. 

USD/JPY lifted by the ADP

Yesterday’s ADP reading sent the US dollar flying, and we have seen the USD/JPY price push above the downtrend line off the January highs. The price is also above the 50-day simple moving average (¥114.10) for the first time since late January.

Dips have been firmly bought over the past week and, with the downtrend broken, more of the same looks likely. Further upside targets lie around ¥115.28, Y116.55 and then back to ¥118. 

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.