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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD

EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD look likely to rebound over the short term. However, questions remain over whether we are set for another bearish phase before long.

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EUR/USD pulls back from recent uptrend

EUR/USD fell below trendline support, with the pair moving into a crucial area of support that will determine the outlook for the week ahead. The pair needed to either break through $1.1746 for a more bullish outlook, or below trendline support to prove that we could be set for a more bearish phase.

Since we saw the latter, we would need to see a break below the first swing low of $1.1594 in order to prove that this is a bearish reversal/retracement. With the 200-day simple moving average (SMA) also featuring that level, the fact that we have seen the pair hold up at this point means we are waiting for a break or rebound to show the way forward over the near term. 

GBP/USD falls into trendline support

GBP/USD has dropped at the start of the week, following negative Brexit rhetoric from the EU. This has brought us back into trendline support, with the question over whether we are set for another rebound coming into play.

A break below $1.2845 and $1.2799 would signal another wider breakdown coming into play. Until then, watch to see if we get a response from trendline and Fibonacci support as a gauge of whether we turn higher once more.

AUD/USD starts the week in bullish fashion

AUD/USD is kicking off the week with a sharp move higher, despite a poor retail sales number overnight. The drop below $0.7238 and $0.7202 last week points towards the wider bearish picture remaining in play.

However, given the size of the drop last week, it looks like we could be set for a retracement phase from here. With the price rebounding from very close proximity to the $0.7160 historical low from January 2017, this adds credence to the idea that we will see further upside for the short term. As such, watch for further upside for now. Although, for the most part this looks like a retracement rather than a bullish reversal. Thus, a bearish outlook remains unless we see a break above $0.7362.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.