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FX levels to watch – EUR/USD, GBP/USD, USD/JPY

The euro’s rally has come to a key resistance level, while cable faces the choice of two trendlines. 

Dollar and pound sterling
Source: Bloomberg

EUR/USD surge hits key level

EUR/USD’s spike to the $1.1858 level has brought out the sellers, with the risk being that this rally has run its course. A bullish signal will be a move back to $1.1858, and a close above this, and then ideally above the October high at $1.1879. This would then open the way to the $1.20-$1.21 peak from September.

 A turn lower targets $.1662, and then $1.1574. The four-hour chart has seen its downtrend from the September high broken, so the retracement overnight may see the line tested from above, before moving higher.

GBP/USD stuck between a rock and a hard place

GBP/USD continues to respect the downtrend line off the September highs, with rallies having been sold. Now, however, the price is running towards the rising trendline from the March lows.

A break below this, and then through $1.31, will target the November low at $1.3050, and then down to $1.2811. A move back above $1.32 will then see $1.3268, and then $1.3341 tested. 

USD/JPY recovers and aims to move higher

A steady pullback for USD/JPY has bounced off the 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at ¥112.56, with a follow-through from this likely to target ¥114.00 and ¥114.37.

A close below the 50-day SMA would suggest a deeper retracement, to the key ¥111.68 level. 

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.