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EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD at risk despite recent gains

EUR/USD, GBP/USD and AUD/USD face the potential for a bearish turn despite recent gains.

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EUR/USD pulling back as rally reaches key resistance zone

The recent EUR/USD uptrend has taken the pair back into the upper echelons of a long-term descending channel, with the ability to remain below the $1.1239 key to continuing that long-term bearish outlook. A break through that level would bring about a bullish signal that has not been seen during the past two years.

However, we ca see that the bullish momentum appears to be losing some traction as we get closer to that resistance level, raising the likelihood of a bearish break below the $1.1095 support level. As such, the next move is going to be dictated by whether we break through $1.1095 (bearish) or $1.1239 (bullish).

EUR/USD chart Source: ProRealTime
EUR/USD chart Source: ProRealTime

GBP/USD reversing lower after brief rebound

GBP/USD has been regaining some ground since the Monday low, with the price moving towards the $1.2851 resistance level.

The wider trend is clearly bearish, and the inability to break through that $1.2851 level signals a likely continuation of that recent weakness. As such, a bearish outlook remains in play as long as we do not break through the $1.2851 level.

GBP/USD chart Source: ProRealTime
GBP/USD chart Source: ProRealTime

AUD/USD rallies through trendline resistance

AUD/USD managed to regain some ground, with the price rising through the inside trendline that has held for much of 2020 thus far.

However, the wider bearish downtrend remains intact, highlighting the potential for a retracement of the sell-off from $0.6774. Thus far we have seen the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level respected perfectly, highlighting the potential for a downward turn before long. Conversely, a break through $0.6774 would bring about a wider bullish picture.

AUD/USD chart Source: ProRealTime
AUD/USD chart Source: ProRealTime

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Ltd and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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