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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold and Brent looks set for short-term downside, and the recent downside that we have seen looks likely to continue.

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Gold could see further downside

Gold sold off nicely yesterday, as we continue to see it retrace off the back of a rally into $1357 resistance. This is expected to persist, with the market yet to retrace 50%. There is a strong chance we could see the price fall into the 61.8% region at $1328.

That being said, given the stretched nature of this market, there is also a chance we could see the price rally in the short term, which could provide a shorting opportunity, as long as we do not see a push back above $1349. However, this sell-off is seen as a short-term retracement, with a break higher expected in the medium term.

Brent showing signs of potential breakdown

Brent has reached the end of a rising wedge formation, with the price falling below the lower threshold of the pattern.

The somewhat half-hearted rebound we have been seeing in response to recent losses did provide a warning sign, and this wedge is now providing greater clues as to a potential impending sell-off. Greater confidence of such a sell-off would come with a break below the $64 mark.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.