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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

A stronger greenback is hurting commodity prices, stymying attempts by gold and oil to recover lost ground. 

Oil pump figure
Source: Bloomberg

Gold under selling pressure

Gold continues to succumb to selling pressure, dropping back below the key long-term downtrend line that runs back to the 2011 high. A steep retracement over the past few days could now see buyers emerge, as they look to hop on board the rising trend off the July lows.

A close below $1264 would be another bearish development, and raise the prospect of a move back to the area around $1250.

WTI remains below the 100-day SMA

WTI’s price bounced off the $47.12 support level yesterday, but remains stuck below the 100-day simple moving average (SMA) at $48.18.

We would need to see a close back above this indicator to become more bullish. A close below $47.12 likely opens the way to $46.60, the 50-day SMA. 

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.