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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

While oil has surged this week, gold bulls appear to be losing their grip on the rally. 

Gold bars
Source: Bloomberg

Gold heading down  

Gold surrendered a lot of ground yesterday, falling back below the summer descending trendline. If downside momentum gathers pace, a break of $1240 could open the way to the 50-day simple moving average at $1228, and then on to $1215 and $1200.

A rally would run into trouble around $1247, and it will take a recover of $1250 to put the rally back on track.

WTI gaining ground

Oil bulls have had a great week, with the price positively racing higher. It has recovered $50, arguably a major psychological benchmark, and now looks to be consolidating.

The next areas to watch on the upside are $50.65 and then $51.81. Potential support in any pullback could be provided at $49.50 and then $49. It will require a move below $48 to even suggest that the bears are back in control.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.