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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold has dropped into a crucial support level, yet could the sell-off be short-lived? Meanwhile, Brent is turning lower once again after the recent rebound.

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Gold challenging critical support level

Gold has managed to break lower from a rising wedge formation, with the price now challenging the crucial $1228 support level this morning. A break below that level would point towards further downside coming into play.

Interestingly, with the 61.8% retracement of the wider move ($1218-1243) coinciding with that $1228 swing low, there is a strong chance of a rebound from here. While it would provide us with flatlining lows on the shorter-term intraday trend, it would also represent a wider retracement without actually needing to break from this shorter trend. Should we break below there, the 76.4% retracement ($1224) would be the next key support level. However, ultimately, we would need to see a break below $1218 to negate the uptrend in play throughout October.

Brent turning lower from trendline resistance

Brent managed to rally into trendline resistance on Friday, with the price now starting to reverse lower from the confluence of Fibonacci (50%) and trendline resistance.

The downtrend seen throughout October remains in place, with the $75.56 level representing the next major hurdle to overcome. With that in mind, it makes sense to look out for a potential leg lower from here, with a break below that support level pointing towards a continuation of this downtrend.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.