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Technical analysis: key levels for gold and crude

Gold and Brent are expected to continue declines despite recent periods of upside.

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Gold fails to break below key support

Gold sold off from near the crucial $1236 level yesterday, with the wider bearish trend expected to come back into play given the respect of that crucial resistance level.

However, we have failed to see that bearish turn drive a move below the $1211 low set on Thursday. That move would be needed to continue the downtrend, while a rally up through $1236 would signify the potential for a rebound over the short term.

Brent rally unlikely to last

Brent has been moving gradually higher over the past week, in what looks like a retracement of the $75.87-$71.27 sell-off.

This points towards a likely breakdown in the price soon enough, with a rally above $75.87 required to negate the bearish outlook. For confirmation that the sell-off is about to occur, look for an hourly close below $72.35.

This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer and quarterly summary.

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This information has been prepared by IG, a trading name of IG Markets Limited and IG Markets South Africa Limited. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. International accounts are offered by IG Markets Limited in the UK (FCA Number 195355), a juristic representative of IG Markets South Africa Limited (FSP No 41393). South African residents are required to obtain the necessary tax clearance certificates in line with their foreign investment allowance and may not use credit or debit cards to fund their international account.