CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please consider our Risk Disclosure Notice and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved. CFDs are leveraged products. CFD trading may not be suitable for everyone and can result in losses that exceed your deposits, so please consider our Risk Disclosure Notice and ensure that you fully understand the risks involved.

S&P 500 plunges into free-fall and hits fresh 2022 lows on growing recession fears

U.S. stocks erase Wednesday’s gains and turn sharply lower; the S&P 500 plummets more than 3% and hits new 2022 lows and selling activity on Wall Street appears to be triggered by fears the U.S. economy is headed for a recession.

Bullish sentiment didn’t last long on Wall Street. After Wednesday’s brief relief rally, U.S. stocks took a sharp turn to the downside Thursday, with most sectors selling off violently amid growing recession anxiety. At the time of writing, the S&P 500 has given up all of the previous session's gains and more, losing roughly 3% and setting a new 2022 low around 3,660.

Yesterday, the Fed raised its benchmark rate by 75 basis points to 1.50-1.75%, delivering its largest hike since 1994, but the forceful measure failed to spark a negative reaction as Chair Powell clarified during his press conference that moves of that size would not be common.

By not endorsing an uber-hawkish approach, Powell calmed some nerves temporarily, but the mood has soured again as traders begin to acknowledge that the central bank’s remains on course to remove accommodation aggressively over the forecast horizon. For context, 150 basis points of additional tightening is expected for the remainder of the year. This should take the federal funds rate above neutral and into restrictive territory late in 2022, creating headwinds for risk assets.

Restrictive monetary policy at a time of slowing activity will become an additional drag on economic growth, increasing the likelihood of a hard landing in the medium term. Recession fears were heightened this morning after interest rates on 30-year mortgages in the U.S. soared to a nearly 14-year high of 5.78% and May new-home construction plunged 14.4%, sinking to the lowest level since April 2020, a clear sign of trouble for the housing sector.

Looking ahead, there is little reason to be optimistic about the outlook for the S&P 500 for now. While bear market rallies are difficult to time and cannot be ruled out, the overall trading bias remains tilted to the downside for the world’s top equity index. That said, the next significant leg lower could develop soon if U.S. companies begin issuing negative profit warnings ahead of the second-quarter earnings season. Traders should pay close attention to any guidance offered in the coming days to gauge the strength of Corporate America amid weakening GDP growth, inflation headwinds and tighter financial conditions.

S&P 500 technical analysis

Wednesday’s rally was nothing but another dead-cat bounce. Today, the S&P 500 is down more than 3% and has broken below channel support at 3,735/3,700, though the trading session is not yet over. If prices close below this area on Thursday, the next downside focus shifts to 3,500, a key floor created by the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the 2020/2022 rally. On the off chance of a rebound, initial resistance appears at 3,810, followed by 4,000.

S&P 500 technical analysis

This information has been prepared by DailyFX, the partner site of IG offering leading forex news and analysis. In addition to the disclaimer below, the material on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. It has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients.


The information on this page does not contain a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for, a transaction in any financial instrument. IG Bank S.A. accepts no responsibility for any use that may be made of these comments and for any consequences that result. No representation or warranty is given as to the accuracy or completeness of this information. Consequently any person acting on it does so entirely at their own risk. Any research provided does not have regard to the specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it and as such is considered to be a marketing communication. Although we are not specifically constrained from dealing ahead of our recommendations we do not seek to take advantage of them before they are provided to our clients. See full non-independent research disclaimer.

Start trading forex today

Find opportunity on the world’s most-traded – and most-volatile – financial market

  • Trade spreads from just 0.6 points on EUR/USD
  • Analyse with clear, fast charts
  • Speculate wherever you are with our intuitive mobile apps

See an FX opportunity?

Try a risk-free trade in your demo account, and see whether you’re onto something.

  • Log in to your demo
  • Take your position
  • See whether your hunch pays off

See an FX opportunity?

Don’t miss your chance – upgrade to a live account to take advantage.

  • Get spreads from just 0.6 points on popular pairs
  • Analyse and deal seamlessly on fast, intuitive charts
  • See and react to breaking news in-platform

See an FX opportunity?

Don’t miss your chance. Log in to take your position.

Live prices on most popular markets

  • Forex
  • Shares
  • Indices
liveprices.javascriptrequired
liveprices.javascriptrequired
liveprices.javascriptrequired

Prices above are subject to our website terms and agreements. Prices are indicative only. All shares prices are delayed by at least 15 mins.

You might be interested in…

Find out what charges your trades could incur with our transparent fee structure.

Discover why so many clients choose us, and what makes us a world-leading provider of CFDs.

Stay on top of upcoming market-moving events with our customisable economic calendar.