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Earnings 2026
JPMorgan earnings preview: Stock battles for $333
JPMorgan reports Q3 earnings on 13 October 2026, with net interest income and credit quality in focus. Meanwhile, the stock is battling around a key technical level. Results and guidance could determine whether its recent stabilisation develops into a recovery.
At a glance
Alongside revenue and earnings, investors will assess JPMorgan’s interest-income outlook, costs and credit losses. Technically, the $325–$333 area is pivotal. A sustained recovery above $333 could open the way towards $345.
JPMorgan Q3 earnings: Date and expectations
| Metric | Timing or expectation |
|---|---|
| Results release | Tuesday, 13 October 2026, around 13:00 CEST |
| Earnings call | 14:30 CEST |
| Expected earnings per share | $5.90 |
| Expected revenue | $51.22 billion |
Interest-income outlook and credit quality take centre stage
Capital-markets activity could provide support. In September, management projected year-on-year percentage growth in the mid-to-high teens for both investment-banking fees and trading revenue.
JPMorgan Chase & Co existing 2026 guidance points to approximately $96.5 billion in net interest income excluding Markets and $107.5 billion in adjusted expenses. The expected credit-card net charge-off rate stands at approximately 3.2%.
Higher interest-income guidance, controlled costs and stable credit quality would be supportive. Additional credit-loss provisions or a weaker outlook could overshadow otherwise strong quarterly results.
Seasonality: A historically favourable autumn window
The 25-year Seasonax study shows an average gain of 5.81% between 9 October and 10 November. Returns were positive in 19 of 25 observations, or 76%. However, the lower median return of 2.24% indicates that a few strong years lift the average.
JPMorgan: 25-Year Seasonal Pattern
Options price an earnings move of around 4.1%
The options snapshot indicates an expected earnings move of ±3.57%, or approximately ±$11.88. This describes the magnitude priced by options, without predicting direction or establishing a guaranteed trading range.
Analysts: Average price target of $379.67
The TipRanks snapshot contains ten Buy ratings and seven Holds, with no Sell ratings. The average 12-month target is $379.67, while individual forecasts range from $305 to $436, highlighting differing views.
JPMorgan: Analyst Ratings and 12-Month Price Targets
Technical analysis: $325–$333 becomes the decision zone
JPMorgan advanced from its March low of $279.26 to an August high of $366.74, with the bullish June breakout accelerating the uptrend. The stock has since entered a correction.
Attention now centres on the Fibonacci level at $333.32. Labelled 61.8% on the chart’s low-to-high scale, it represents a 38.2% retracement of the preceding rally when measured down from the peak. Beneath it, the rising 200-day EMA at $325.46 has already been tested during the recent pullback.
The $325–$333 area therefore forms the central technical decision zone. Reclaiming $333 and subsequently holding it as support could allow a recovery towards $345.
The RSI remains below the 48.5 threshold used in this analysis, with a displayed reading of 45.36. A sustained recovery above that threshold would strengthen the rebound scenario. A break below the 200-day EMA would instead bring the next Fibonacci level at $312.68 into focus.
JPMorgan Daily Chart: $333 Fibonacci Level in Focus
Long and short setups
| Scenario | Trigger | Targets | Risk control |
|---|---|---|---|
| Long | Recovery above $333.32 followed by a successful retest; RSI above 48.5 adds confirmation | $345, followed by $355 | Below the confirmed retest low |
| Short | Daily close below the EMA near $325, followed by a failed recovery | $312.68, followed by $299.91 | Above the retest high |
JPM: Five-Year Share Price Performance
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