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JB Hi-Fi FY2026 earnings preview

JB Hi-Fi reports FY26 results on 17 August, with investors watching whether cost pressures and softer Q4 sales momentum flagged in May have flowed through to margins.

Source: Bloomberg

Written by

Tony Sycamore

Tony Sycamore

Market Analyst

Publication date

JB Hi-Fi overview

JB Hi-Fi is one of Australia's leading consumer electronics and home appliance retailers. The group operates three main brands: JB Hi-Fi, a major player in technology and consumer electronics with a particularly strong following among younger, tech-savvy customers and stores across Australia and New Zealand; The Good Guys, a well-established home appliances and consumer electronics retailer that is expanding its technology offering; and e&s, a premium cooking and whitegoods specialist based in Victoria.

When will JB Hi-Fi report its latest earnings?

JB Hi-Fi Limited (ASX: JBH) is scheduled to release its full-year results for the financial year (FY) ending 30 June 2026 on Wednesday, 17 August 2026

The backdrop

JB Hi-Fi delivered a strong first half (H1) for FY2026 (six months to 31 December 2025) that left many asking, 'what cost-of-living crisis?' The electronics retailer posted a roaring trade in mobile phones, computers and fitness devices as shoppers largely refused to give up their daily tech habits, even while other parts of the retail sector struggled.

Key figures included:

  • Total sales of $6.10 billion, up 7.3% — beating market forecasts
  • Earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) of $454.0 million, up 8.1%
  • Net profit after tax (NPAT) of $305.8 million, up 7.1% and comfortably ahead of expectations of around $297 million
  • Earnings per share (EPS) of 279.7 cents, up 7.1%. 
  • Interim dividend of 210 cents per share (fully franked), up 40 cents or 23.5%

Segment performance was broad-based:

  • JB Hi-Fi Australia sales rose 6.3% (comparable +5%), powered by mobiles, computers, small appliances and strong online growth (+11.2%). New Zealand was a clear standout with sales up 32.6% (comparable +20.2%) and EBIT more than doubling.
  • The Good Guys grew sales 4.1% (comparable +4%), while the recently acquired e&s (75% owned) contributed solidly. Gross margins held up well thanks to solid execution and favourable product mix.

Group chief executive officer (CEO) Nick Wells said in the official release:

"We are pleased to report record sales and strong earnings for HY26, as we built on the momentum of the previous year. In a retail environment where customers are seeking value, our brands continue to resonate strongly and our teams continue to execute to a high standard."

Investors responded enthusiastically sending the share price soaring 8.13% on the day to $89.10, as the market welcomed the record sales, earnings beat and fatter dividend.

Chart – JB HI-FI group model

US core CPI chart Source – JB Hi Fi

Highlights from the most recent quarterlies / production results

Fast forward to May and JB Hi-Fi's third quarter (Q3) FY26 sales update (period 1 January to 31 March 2026) showed continued top-line growth, but the market reaction was noticeably cooler than the strong response to the half-year results a few months earlier.

Key comparable and total sales growth:

  • JB Hi-Fi Australia: comparable +2.6%, total +4.0%
  • JB Hi-Fi New Zealand: comparable +15.2%, total +23.2%
  • The Good Guys: +2.5% (both comparable and total)
  • e&s: comparable –4.8%, total –1.4%

CEO Nick Wells said the group was 'pleased to see sales growth in JB Hi-Fi and The Good Guys in what is an increasingly uncertain retail environment.' 

He flagged significant supplier component-related cost increases and stock availability shortages in technology categories heading into the key end-of-financial-year trading period, alongside heightened competitive activity.

JB Hi-Fi's share price finished 6.28% lower on the day at $84.36 as the market zeroed in on the cautionary commentary about rising component costs, potential stock shortages and intensifying competition.

Summary of JB Hi-Fi's Q3 2026 sales update

Hand holding a phone Source: JB Hi-Fi

FY2026 earnings expectations

The full-year result on 17 August will be the first clear read on whether the solid-but-slowing Q3 sales momentum held through the critical end-of-financial-year / fourth quarter (Q4) period, and how much of the cost, availability and competitive pressures flagged in May actually flowed through to margins.

The broader macro backdrop remains a meaningful influence. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cash rate is at a restrictive 4.35% after earlier hikes this year, consumer confidence is still depressed (near multi-decade lows on key surveys), and while the May Federal Budget delivered some cost-of-living support (including staged tax cuts and temporary fuel relief), the relief has only partially offset higher mortgage costs and living pressures for many households.

These factors will shape both the second half (H2) trading numbers and management's FY27 commentary. 

Key focus areas for the market:

  • Q4 comparable sales (especially JB Australia, which is cycling a very strong +8.2% prior-year base)
  • Gross margin and EBIT margin outcomes: management already highlighted supplier component cost increases, stock shortages in technology categories, and heightened competition
  • Full-year sales and NPAT delivery versus the strong first-half run-rate.
  • Final dividend under the new 70–80% payout policy
  • Management’s tone on the FY27 outlook (consumer environment, product cycles, and competitive intensity)

A clean delivery on margins or a constructive outlook could support the recent share-price recovery. Any disappointment on costs, softer Q4 comps, or further evidence of competitive intensity is likely to keep sentiment cautious.

Key financial - summary 

  • Revenue: ≈ A$11.13 billion (vs A$10.56 billion in FY25, up ~5.4%) 
  • Underlying NPAT / Net income: ≈ A$493 million (vs A$462 million in FY25, up ~6.6%) 
  • EPS: ≈ A$4.49 (vs A$4.21 in FY25, up ~6.6%) 
  • Dividend: ≈ A$3.52 per share (fully franked) (vs A$3.75 in FY25). 

JB Hi-Fi net income/underlying NPAT chart

Hand holding a phone Source: LSEG

JB Hi-Fi technical analysis

JB Hi-Fi launched a powerful multi-year advance from the COVID low of $20.79 all the way to the $121 peak in August 2025. That rally represented an exceptional run of more than 480%. 

Since then, the share price has entered a corrective phase, retracing a large portion of the prior gains. The decline eventually brought the stock down into the vicinity of the key 50% Fibonacci retracement level near $70–71. Importantly, this zone has largely held as support and the price has since staged a recovery. 

At the time of writing the shares are trading in the mid-$80s. The ability of the $70/$67 area to contain the sell-off is a constructive technical development and providing the share price continues to hold above the $70/$67.00 support area there is room for the rally to extend back towards resistance at $90.00. 

Chart – JB Hi-Fi weekly chart 

Hand holding a phone Source: TradingView
  • Source: TradingView. The figures stated are as of 10 August 2026. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This report does not contain and is not to be taken as containing any financial product advice or financial product recommendation.

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